Southend by-election: Time, polling stations, odds – All you need to know

Kim Leadbeater's emotional Sir David Amess tribute speech

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The Constituency of Southend West currently doesn’t have an MP to represent it after their much-loved MP of 24 years was killed last year. A by-election to find a new MP for the seat will take place soon. Although the seat is thought to be a Tory stronghold support for the Conservatives has been waning in light of the recent scandals at Downing Street. Here’s everything you need to know about this election.

When is the Southend by-election?

The by-election for the Southend West constituency will take place on Thursday, February 3, 2022.

Polling stations will open from 7am and will close at 10pm.

Where are the polling stations?

Polling stations have been set up in schools, church halls and other venues across the constituency.

There are 37 polling stations listed on the Southend on Sea Borough council website.

You can find your nearest station here through the Democracy Club Polling Station Finder.

Who are the candidates?

When residents of Southend take to the polling booth tomorrow, they will have eight candidates to choose from.

  • Christopher John Anderson (The Freedom Alliance)
  • Catherine Anne Blaiklock (English Democrats)
  • Ben Downton (Heritage Party)
  • Anna Firth (Conservatives)
  • Jayda Fransen (Independent)
  • Steve Laws (Ukip)
  • Graham Harry Moore (English Constitution Party)
  • Jason Stephen Pilley (Psychedelic Movement)

Independent Olga Victoria Childs originally stood for the seat but has pulled out due to health reasons.

Ms Childs’ name is still on the ballot, however, she has asked voters to “treat it as if it were never there”.

What are the latest odds?

It’s thought the Conservatives will win back this seat as their candidate will run largely unchallenged.

This is because other major parties such as Labour and the Liberal Democrats haven’t put forward candidates out of a mark of respect for Sir Amess.

This precedent was set when Labour MP Jo Cox, was murdered in 2016.

The Conservative candidate, Anna Firth, will only face eight fringe candidates.

But the latest odds by Ladbrokes for how much the Tories will win by is as follows:

  • Tory vote share to be over 80 percent – 3/1
  • Tory vote share to be between 70 and 80 percent – 2/1
  • Tory vote share to be between 60 and 70 percent – 11/2

Alex Apati of Ladbrokes said: “The odds suggest a Tory vote share of 70-80 percent is the most likely outcome for tomorrow’s by-election, with a turnout of between 20 and 30 percent”

Sir Amess was killed whilst he was conducting a constituency surgery at Belfairs Methodist Church in Leigh-on-Sea on October 15, 2021.

He was 69 when he died and had been the MP for Southend West since 1997, and before that he held the Basildon seat from 1983 to 1997.

Can you register to vote for this election?

Unfortunately, if you haven’t registered for this election, you won’t be eligible to cast your vote.

The deadline for registering to vote for this election was January 18, 2022.

The deadline for registering to vote via post was 19 January and the deadline for applying for a new proxy vote was on January 26.

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