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Donald Trump’s term as president has been controversial, to say the least, and pundits are now putting their backing in his Democrat rival Joe Biden. The USA is currently facing some of the biggest demonstrations in history, and protesters demand justice for George Floyd after his death in police custody.
Images and videos have emerged of protesters being dispersed with tear gas and rubber bullets, and several more deaths have occurred in recent days.
The civil unrest triggered by the death of Floyd has brought the highest number of curfews declared across America since the riots that followed Martin Luther King’s assassination in 1968.
Mr Trump has responded to the situation by threatening Americans with further police and military action.
The next presidential election is due to take place this November, however official campaigning has been left somewhat on the backfoot since the coronavirus crisis began.
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The USA now has the highest COVID-19 death toll in the world.
It remains to be seen if Donald Trump’s handling of coronavirus and the current turmoil will unseat him in favour of Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee.
Joe Biden’s rival, left wing socialist Bernie Sanders, dropped out earlier in the race when it was clear he could not gather enough momentum to beat Mr Biden.
Mr Biden was the vice president during Barack Obama’s presidency, and is another divisive figure in American politics.
This week Mr Biden promoted the idea that police should try and shoot at people’s legs or arms instead of at the chest or head.
It prompted the question of why Mr Biden thought it was appropriate to shoot unarmed people in the first place.
This year’s presidential election will be a historic test of cautious but steady optimism for civil rights movements.
On the surface, the current unrest and violence look like a disaster for Mr Trump, even if it could push white voters to the right, like the MLK riots did in 1968 – Richard Nixon won that year’s election.
But for a man slated to never win the 2016 election in the first place, it still looks like all to play for.
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What are the odds?
Joe Biden has been installed as the betting favourite to become the next President of the United States with every bookmaker in the UK, for the very first time since the markets opened.
Bookies have cut Biden’s odds this morning to 19/20, meaning he has jumped ahead of the current president Donald Trump at 11/10.
In simple terms, these numbers equate to an implied probability of 51.3 percent for Mr Biden, compared to 47.6 percent for Mr Trump.
The shift comes from Trump’s handling of the Black Lives Matter protests over the last week after his approval rates plummeted in the face of ongoing protests against police brutality, with 71 percent of all bets in that time period backing Biden.
Oddschecker spokesperson Callum Wilson said: “Trump enjoyed a healthy lead over his Democrat rivals throughout the latter party’s primaries.
“However, this gap was closed once Biden became the presumptive nominee and now the former vice-president has been named favourite for the very first time”
“Criticism of the president has been rife over the past two months in relation to his response to the COVID-19 pandemic, and events this week have polarised the US still further.”
While at Betfair Exchange, in what has already been a very active betting market, there was more than £1m traded on Joe Biden in the last 24 hours.
A Betfair Spokesperson said: ‘‘As several crises rage on in America, Donald Trump looks set to go into the 2020 election season with the biggest odds for an incumbent in US Presidential betting history. Trump is now 11/8, which implies a likelihood of 43% to win another term, having been as short as 4/6 in February.
“While Biden is in a strong position right now, his nomination for Vice-President will be incredibly important. Kamala Harris is the current favourite at 6/4 with Val Demings at 11/2 and Elizabeth Warren third favourite at 9/1.
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