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Commentators have in recent days and weeks been eyeing up the possibility of Ukrainian forces recapturing land taken by Russian in the early stages of the “special military operation”. It is understood that Kyiv is focussing on limiting the extent to which Russia can respond to such attempts.
The latest Western intelligence updates on the ongoing conflict suggest Russia is facing increasing “pressure” as key travel routes come under fire.
Artillery and ammunition stores are also significant targets as resources become more scarce.
The UK Ministry of Defence yesterday drew attention to the latest in a string of challenges being faced by Russian troops in Ukraine.
It said that “multiple concurrent threats spread across 500km will test Russia’s ability to coordinate operational design and reallocate resources across multiple groupings of forces”.
This challenge has today been made all the more difficult following the destruction of key passing zones.
The Ministry said in a statement today: “In Kherson Oblast, Ukrainian brigades continue to conduct offensive operations.
“Ukraine has probably destroyed a military pontoon bridge at Darivka, which Russian forces had deployed after the nearby road bridge was severely damaged.”
It added: “The Darivka crossing is one of the main routes between the northern and southern sectors of Russia’s military presence along the Dnipro river.
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“Ukraine’s systematic precision targeting of vulnerable crossing points likely continues to impose pressure on Russian forces as they attempt to contain Ukrainian attacks: it slows their ability to deploy operational reserves and resupply materiel from the east.”
This, alongside the targeting of military stores, is creating large troubles for Russia’s war efforts.
Military economist Marcus Keupp told German broadcaster NTV that because of production troubles: “In a year at the latest, the Russian army will have no more tanks if the rate of attrition continues at this rate.”
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He added that while “Russia still has artillery superiority”, this could change within a month.
Ukraine is not without its own problems relating to ammunition and artillery.
Numerous intelligence reports have highlighted the extent to which Volodymyr Zelensky’s forces are outgunned by those of Vladimir Putin.
The West has been working to ensure Kyiv’s stocks remain at sufficient levels to respond to Russia’s invasion.
Though stocks in these countries are also running low, and some commentators are asking for how long can current levels of support be maintained.
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