UK weather: ‘Extreme record breaking’ temperatures could scorch Britain this summer

Liz Bentley the Chief Executive at the Royal Meteorological Society told it has become more likely for Britain to break “the high temperature records in the summer” as the average temperature for the UK, as well as globally, has increased by one degree Celsius in the last 150 years. Ms Bentley stated this would mean it was less likely for the UK to see record low temperatures in the winter. 

Ms Bentley said: “We have already seen a one degree warming in average temperatures in the UK, which is consistent with what is happening globally as well, in the last 150 years or so.

“That one degree doesn’t sound very much but actually it means we are more likely to see hotter events where the temperatures reach extreme, some times recording breaking events.

“The colder conditions delving into the depths of winter become less frequent.

“The likelihood of breaking the low temperature records in winter will become less likely.

“The likelihood of breaking the high temperature records in the summer will become more likely.”

The Met Office has predicted that the Earth’s global average temperature is likely to reach record warmth during the five-year period from 2020 to 2024.

The current warmest year on record is 2016, but the latest forecast based on Met Office statistics suggest a new annual record could be set in the next five years.

Average temperatures are expected to be between 1.15C and 1.46C above pre-industrial levels, for the five-year period as a whole, which compares to an average warming of 1.09C for the past five years.

Earlier this month a Met Office spokeswoman told regarding the forecast for the summer: “It is impossible to predict the summer weather at this point in time because the science simply does not exist to do this.

“Weather is a chaotic system which depends on global drivers which means that you cannot predict what will happen on our very small island in global terms.

“Trying to predict what will happen in months and months time is simply not possible, the science does not go far.”

In terms of global temperatures, the Met Office spokeswoman added: “Global average temperatures are likely to reach record temperatures in the next five years.

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“I cannot give you any indication about what the weather is going to be like, that is a completely separate thing from predicting global average temperatures for the year as opposed to weather.

“They are two separate skill sets. 

“You are looking at an average temperature over the globe over a long period for one, while the other is localised weather systems.”

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